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The Calgary Flames face elimination tonight after Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers took Recreation 4 in a 5-3 win. The Flames have talked advert nauseam about stopping McDavid however nonetheless have had no reply for the very best participant in hockey.
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McDavid has 11 factors in 4 video games and Leon Draisaitl has 14 factors. With the collection heading again to Scotiabank Saddledome and Calgary getting the final change, can Darryl Sutter maintain this from turning into one other observe meet? Discover out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Flames vs. Oilers.
Oilers vs Flames Recreation 5 odds
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Calgary opened as a -145 ML favorite for Recreation 5 and has gained some confidence available in the market transferring as brief as -155. This would be the Flames’ third residence sport of the collection as they closed at -170 in each Video games 1 and a couple of.
The overall has closed at 6.5 in every of the collection’ 4 video games and that’s the place it sits tonight and leans to the Over. In complete, 36 objectives have been scored by means of 4 video games on this collection.
Use the dwell odds widget above to trace any future line actions proper till puck drop and make sure you try the complete NHL odds earlier than betting to make sure you get the very best quantity.
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Oilers vs Flames Recreation 5 predictions
Predictions made on 5/26/2022 at 11:00 a.m. ET.
Click on on every prediction to leap to the complete evaluation.
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Oilers vs Flames Recreation 5 information
• Location: Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary, AB
• Date: Thursday, Might 26, 2022
• Puck drop: 9:30 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN, Sportsnet
Oilers vs Flames collection odds (EDM leads 3-1)
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Oilers: -550
Flames: +425
Oilers vs Flames Recreation 5 betting preview
Key accidents
Oilers: Evander Kane F (Possible), Kyle Turris F (Out).
Flames: Christopher Tanev D (Questionable).
Discover our newest NHL damage stories.
Oilers vs Flames head-to-head document within the collection
Oilers: 3-1 SU, 20 objectives for.
Flames: 1-3 SU, 16 objectives for.
Betting development to know
The house workforce is 13-3 SU within the final 16 conferences between the Oilers and Flames. Discover extra NHL betting tendencies for Oilers vs. Flames.
Oilers vs Flames Recreation 5 picks and predictions
Our aspect and complete predictions are based mostly upon our evaluation of the road and complete on this sport. Our greatest wager is our favorite choose throughout all markets.
Moneyline evaluation
The Calgary Flames got here into this collection as heavy favourites to advance to the third spherical however Connor McDavid and the Oilers have pushed the favourites to the brink of elimination within the battle of Alberta. Edmonton has ripped off three straight wins within the collection and within the one sport that Flames did win, in Recreation 1, Edmonton erased a 6-2 second-period Calgary result in tie issues at six earlier than dropping 9-6.
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Edmonton has performed with a lead, performed from behind, and has given up leads whereas in some way managing to steal three of 4 video games from the West’s second-best workforce. We just like the Oilers to maneuver on however can this Edmonton workforce actually take 4 straight video games in opposition to the Flames, together with two in Calgary?
First off, with the way in which that the McDavid-Draisaitl-Kane line has been taking part in, Edmonton has an opportunity to win any sport and erase any deficit. However that is nonetheless an Oilers workforce with flaws.
For starters, Mike Smith’s inconsistencies are evident. He allowed a game-tying aim from 130 ft away in Recreation 4 and owns a 3.30 GAA within the collection whereas permitting three objectives in three of the 4 video games. He additionally faces extra photographs/60 than every other goalie within the playoffs.
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Secondly, that is an Edmonton blueline that hasn’t been uncovered because the Oilers have performed a pair of groups within the playoffs that lack depth expertise up entrance. Duncan Keith, Cody Ceci, Tyson Barrie, and Brett Kulak are two-thirds of the workforce’s beginning blueline and have had a hand in conceding 16 objectives in 4 video games and averaging 38.3 photographs per sport in opposition to.
some superior metrics, the Oilers have misplaced the Corsi battle in all 4 video games, which is a elaborate manner of claiming the Flames have created extra shot makes an attempt than the Oilers. Calgary can also be creating extra scoring probabilities, with 138 to the Oilers’ 118.
The Flames lack scoring expertise of their backside 9 and this sport will come right down to them stepping up. To date within the collection, Calgary has generated 55 high-danger scoring probabilities and has produced simply 5 objectives from these high quality probabilities. Excessive-danger scoring likelihood is roughly 20% possible so Calgary scoring at simply 9% on their HD scoring probabilities is subpar.
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Edmonton is giving the Flames an opportunity to get again into this collection and if Jacob Markstrom can steal one sport and Sutter can create optimum matchups that in some way decelerate the Oilers’ high line, Calgary ought to pressure Recreation 6. The Flames are 4-2 SU at residence within the playoffs and completed the common season with top-of-the-line aim differentials at residence with a plus-57 over 41 video games.
The worth is even just a little lengthy right here because the Flames closed as -170 favourites in Video games 1 and a couple of.
Prediction: Flames moneyline (-150 at bet365)
Covers NHL betting evaluation
Over/Below evaluation
As a lot as Calgary needs to maintain this a decent sport, it has been unable to decelerate this Edmonton offense that’s mainly taking part in simply two traces. Even at residence, the Flames couldn’t decelerate this offense-first Edmonton workforce.
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The Over is 3-1 to date within the collection and within the one sport that went Below, Smith wanted to make 31 saves and Markstrom stopped 37 pucks. Even when we take out Recreation 1’s 15-goal outburst, the collection continues to be averaging 7.0 objectives per sport.
Markstrom can’t appear to cease this motivated Edmonton offence, because the Vezina finalist has an unpleasant 5.28 objectives in opposition to common and a .850 save proportion by means of 4 video games. He hasn’t seemed like the identical goalie that led the league in shutouts and though he can nonetheless single-handedly win a sport as he did within the first spherical, holding the Oilers off the scoreboard can be almost not possible.
Calgary and Sutter know this, and the house aspect goes to should generate some offence to win this sport and keep away from elimination. The Gaudreau-Lindholm-Tkachuk line leads the Flames in playoff scoring and wishes some assist tonight. Some secondary scoring has come to life with Mikael Backlund’s line, with Blake Coleman and Andrew Mangiapane producing a 5-on-5 aim in Recreation 4. Calgary will want one other good displaying from the brand new second line.
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Smith has a .931 save proportion to date within the postseason which, should you’ve watched Smith this season, know these numbers are unsustainable. Smith is a profession .912 SV% goalie which is respectable however he has a weak blueline in entrance of him and has benefited from Calgary failing to attain at a traditional price on its high-quality scoring probabilities.
Within the collection, the top-six forwards on Edmonton have totalled 43 of the workforce’s 50 mixed factors. Kane didn’t journey with the workforce to Calgary yesterday as his girlfriend simply gave beginning to their child son. He’ll possible arrive later however will be a part of the playoff’s hottest line.
Calgary has needed to play its sport because the opening match of the collection and has failed to take action by means of the three following video games. If Calgary goes to win this sport, it’s going to should hit the four-goal mark and with the way in which the McDavid-Draisaitl-Kane line has been taking part in, in addition to the Oilers’ second line, we must always proceed to see extra two-way scoring tonight.
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Prediction: Over 6.5 (-115 at bet365)
Greatest wager
This greatest wager won’t correlate nicely with our prediction of the Flames to win, however we’re not passing on a participant who’s averaging three factors per sport vs. the Flames this season over eight video games (4 within the common season and 4 within the playoffs).
With a lot speak about Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl has amassed 13 factors within the collection’ first 4 video games. He’s scored at the very least three factors in every sport of the collection and has completely punished the Flames this season with 24 factors in eight video games.
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Draisaitl isn’t precisely at 100% however he’s nonetheless been the workforce’s greatest producer and even collected two objectives and 4 assists within the two video games in Calgary already on this collection.
McDavid is paying -145 to the Over 1.5 factors whereas his linemate is paying +140 and people numbers don’t correlate nicely, both. Give us Draisaitl to proceed to stack factors on this collection.
Choose: Leon Draisaitl Over 1.5 factors (+140)
Stats from Covers, Moneypuck, Pure Stat Trick and NHL.com
This text initially appeared on Covers.com, learn the complete article right here
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