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Regardless of all the pieces, an election held tomorrow would yield similar outcomes as final two
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First Studying is a day by day e-newsletter conserving you posted on the travails of Canadian politicos, all curated by the Nationwide Put up’s personal Tristin Hopper. To get an early model despatched direct to your inbox each Monday to Thursday at 6 p.m. ET (and 9 a.m. on Saturdays), enroll right here.
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Two international locations are individually embroiled in fights with Ottawa over its protectionist dairy coverage, illustrating the steep diplomatic worth that Canada pays with a view to protect its milk producers from the free market.
Final week, New Zealand initiated a dispute course of alleging that Canada has violated the phrases of the Complete and Progressive Settlement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPATPP) by way of its tight controls on dairy imports. It’s the primary time such proceedings have been initiated between signatories of the 2018 commerce settlement.
In a press release, New Zealand’s Minister of Agriculture Damien O’Connor wrote that whereas Canada had signed the settlement with a promise to approve a daily quota of imported New Zealand dairy, Ottawa was merely refusing to grant the quotas.
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“The worth to New Zealand of this misplaced market entry is estimated to be roughly $68 million over the primary two years,” O’Connor wrote, including that he nonetheless noticed Canada as a “good buddy.”
The USA simply completed successful an identical dispute launched in opposition to Canada for a lot the identical motive. Canada signed the United States-Mexico-Canada Settlement with a promise to let in elevated portions of American milk and cheese, after which merely denied import quotas to American producers.
That, too, represented the primary time within the settlement’s historical past {that a} dispute had been launched between signatories.
Though Canadian Commerce Minister Mary Ng lately introduced a revamp of the principles surrounding who’s allowed to import duty-free American dairy, U.S. dairy producers are already accusing Canada of once-again skirting its commerce commitments and blocking American cheese on the border.
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In the case of non-dairy commodities, Canada is an enthusiastic proponent of free commerce. World Affairs Canada boasts that the nation has 15 free commerce agreements with a cumulative 49 international locations.
However negotiations for nearly all of these agreements have gotten hung up on the truth that whereas Canada needs tariff-free markets for its beef, lumber and wheat, it concurrently needs to impose prohibitive tariffs on overseas milk and cheese.
Then-U.S. president Donald Trump repeatedly cited Canadian dairy controls as one in every of his causes for re-negotiating NAFTA, calling provide administration a “shame.”
Canadian dairy coverage was additionally a sticking level throughout the negotiations that finally yielded the CPATPP. Ottawa was finally compelled to make some concessions on dairy imports, for which it pledged to pay out greater than $4.3 billion in federal {dollars} to the Canadian dairy sector.
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Canadian provide administration has been significantly galling for New Zealand, which counts the dairy sector as its single largest supply of exports. What’s extra, New Zealand solely turned a dairy powerhouse after dismantling its personal protectionist insurance policies, which appeared exceptional just like Canadian provide administration.
“Our trade has turn into extra environment friendly and bigger,” New Zealand Commerce Minister David Parker informed World Information in a 2018 interview urging Canadian to ditch protectionist dairy insurance policies. “Somewhat than being opposed to (the dairy sector’s) pursuits, it’s turned out the alternative means,” he added.
Provide administration was first established within the Nineteen Seventies, and makes use of a mix of manufacturing quotes and strict border controls to make sure an artificially excessive worth for Canadian milk, cheese and eggs. Analysis out of the College of Manitoba has estimated that the system imposes an annual per-family value of between $339 and $554 per yr.
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However with the system supported by one of many strongest lobbies within the nation, provide administration enjoys near-universal assist amongst federal legislators, together with express endorsement by all 5 events within the Home of Commons.
Whereas centralized financial coverage is usually one thing that the Conservative Celebration would oppose (corresponding to in their dismantling of the Canadian Wheat Board), provide administration is overtly endorsed by 4 out of the six candidates for the get together’s management — together with the race’s two frontrunners, Pierre Poilievre and Jean Charest.
IN OTHER NEWS
Abacus Information has a new ballot of federal voter intentions and … it’s mainly the identical because it’s been ever for the reason that 2021 election. The Conservatives are in first place with 33 per cent, the Liberals in 31 per cent and the NDP in a distant third with 19 per cent. Because of this if an election was held tomorrow, it could end up roughly the identical because the final two: A Liberal minority supported by the NDP, and Conservatives in opposition. Whereas the Conservatives persistently seize a plurality of the favored vote, a lot of that is concentrated in intensely Conservative ridings in B.C., Alberta and Saskatchewan – that means that the Liberals can seize extra seats regardless of a decrease variety of uncooked votes.
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July 1 will mark the primary time in three years that Ottawa will host an in-person Canada Day celebration, however the festivities is not going to be going down on Parliament Hill. Lest you assume it’s truly due to fears over a revamped Freedom Convoy demonstration, nonetheless, Heritage Canada mentioned it’s due to ongoing renovations to the Centre Block of Parliament. As a substitute, the Canada major stage shall be constructed at LeBreton Flats, a park simply to the west of town’s downtown notable for holding the Canadian Conflict Museum.
Get all of those insights and extra into your inbox each weekday at 6 p.m. ET by signing up for the First Studying e-newsletter right here.
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